Optimistic reports of a coming Democratic wave keep flowing in. And it’s scaring the hell out of many Democrats.
New Rothenberg Ratings
The Senate: “While Senate control is in doubt, with Democrats most likely to win from 5 to 7 seats, we do not think the two sides have an equal chance of winning a majority in the Senate. Instead, we believe that state and national dynamics favor Democrats netting six seats and winning control of the United States Senate.”
The House: “Going into the final days before the 2006 midterm elections, we believe the most likely outcome in the House of Representatives is a Democratic gain of 34 to 40 seats, with slightly larger gains not impossible. This would put Democrats at between 237 and 243 seats, if not a handful more, giving them a majority in the next House that is slightly larger than the one the Republicans currently hold. If these numbers are generally correct, we would expect a period of GOP finger-pointing and self-flagellation after the elections, followed by a considerable number of Republican House retirements over the next two years.”
“Oh no, don’t say that,” tends to be the response of many of the Democrats who post comments on the web. “We can’t afford to get overconfident,” they insist.
But I can’t see overconfidence as a realistic worry here. What I feel in the air isn’t complacency; it’s enthusiasm. And we shouldn’t fear it.
It may be just the fuel we need to carry the wave all the way across the country.